THERESA May limps on as Prime Minister regardless of the crushing defeat on Brexit deal last week.
But after surviving two votes of no confidence and dealing with opposition from each Remainers and Brexiteers in her celebration, the PM continues to be on skinny ice.
Come what May, who would substitute her? Listed here are the latest odds.
Theresa May managed to see off a vote of no confidence after a gruelling week in Westminster – however her days as PM are numbered
- 1 What are the odds on the next Prime Minister?
- 1.1 Jeremy Corbyn – four/1
- 1.2 Michael Gove – 5/1
- 1.3 Boris Johnson – 7/1
- 1.4 Sajid Javid – 10/1
- 1.5 Dominic Raab – 12/1
- 1.6 Jeremy Hunt – 14/1
- 1.7 Amber Rudd – 20/1
- 1.8 Jacob Rees-Mogg – 20/1
- 1.9 David Davis – 33/1
- 1.10 Andrea Leadsom – 33/1
- 1.11 Ruth Davidson 100/1
- 1.12 FORTNIGHT: BATTLE ROYALE
- 1.13 THE END OF MAY
- 1.14 MAY ON BREXIT
- 1.15 TAKE T-EU
- 1.16 NO DEAL DRAMA
- 1.17 BRAKESIT
- 1.18 AID EXTRA CASH RAP
- 1.19 PRICE WORTH PAYING
- 1.20 ROUND TWO
- 1.21 CUSTOM MADE
- 1.22 HS2 FACING AXE
What are the odds on the next Prime Minister?
Beneath parliamentary rules, the result of the vote of no confidence means Mrs May will go unchallenged by her own social gathering for the next yr.
However in December she advised Tory MPs she knew they would not let her lead them into another common election in 2022 — though “in my heart” she would have needed to.
Nevertheless May is decided to see her Brexit deal handed before stepping down.
It has now emerged the Prime Minister is getting ready for an exit this summer time.
Cabinet ministers believed the timing is so she will affect who who succeeds her and cease Boris Johnson.
May’s government agreed a withdrawal cope with the EU in November — masking subjects corresponding to the “divorce bill” and the Irish border — however she was humiliated when it was rejected by MPs on January 15 by a staggering majority of 230 votes.
Labour chief Jeremy Corbyn instantly tabled a vote of no confidence in her authorities.
May limped on, narrowly surviving the vote of no confidence by 19 votes the following day.
There were few signs May planned to make radical modifications to her deal, though she might search alterations to the “backstop” that’s meant to guarantee there are not any customs checks along the border between Ireland and Northern Ireland after Brexit.
The EU insists it will not renegotiate the withdrawal agreement.
May has insisted she won’t resign however bookmakers have odds on her early departure, with many colleagues priming themselves for the position.
Now delegated to the again benches after quitting as overseas secretary, Boris Johnson remains a favourite to exchange May in No10.
The main Brexiteer just lately signalled his curiosity for the leadership contest, and has repeatedly refused to rule it out utterly.
House secretary Sajid “The Saj” Javid also seems keen to step up to the position – just lately unveiling his imaginative and prescient of a Conservative get together that displays a “bigger picture” of social mobility.
Listed here are the latest odds from Ladbrokes as of January 17, 2019
Boris Johnson is one in every of the frontrunners to grow to be the next Prime Minister – however is he up to the job?
Jeremy Corbyn has expressed curiosity in another election – and is a joint favourite with Boris
Jeremy Corbyn – four/1
The bookies have just lately been giving Jeremy Corbyn robust odds as the nation’s more than likely next Prime Minister.
The Labour leader has had to battle constant opposition from his personal MPs together with a management contest after only a yr.
But the social gathering swung behind him after a a lot stronger than expected 2017 Common Election when Labour picked up 30 seats and Mrs May lost her majority.
Though the fabled “youthquake” of help from younger voters did not happen, Labour is enjoying relatively robust help in opinion polls.
Labour’s coverage is to hold all choices on the desk if the get together can’t search a basic election including a second vote.
But Corbyn’s reluctance to commit to another referendum so shut to Brexit day is costing him with some members.
In accordance to polling, Labour members are considerably extra opposed to Brexit than Corbyn, with 72% considering their leader ought to help a second vote.
Corbyn is the solely Westminster social gathering leader to have refused to meet the Prime Minister following the overwhelming rejection of her withdrawal plan, insisting she should first rule out a no-deal Brexit.
Michael Gove – 5/1
The Setting Secretary has achieved a exceptional turnaround since knifing Boris Johnson during the 2016 management contest.
His help among get together members dropped by way of the flooring and it appeared his possibilities have been gone for ever.
However Mr Gove, who led the Depart campaign in the EU referendum, has rebranded himself as an ecowarrior as Surroundings Secretary.
He has additionally thrown his full help behind Theresa May’s Brexit plan, profitable him buddies among MPs if not the social gathering trustworthy.
He claimed May blundered by not having key Labour figures on her Brexit talks staff.
The Setting Secretary stated the PM “made a mistake by not asking Gisela Stuart to join at the beginning”.
The workforce also needs to have had “people like Frank Field”, he stated.
He additionally stated No Deal must be stored on the desk.
Boris Johnson – 7/1
Former Overseas Secretary Boris Johnson continues to be a massively common determine among Tory grassroots and the common public.
Boris give up as Overseas Secretary on July 9 in a blow to May’s government.
He walked out just hours after she lost Brexit Secretary David Davis over her Chequers plan to maintain close ties to Brussels.
However many MPs seem to have turned towards him, which means he may wrestle to get on the poll.
His aborted leadership bid in 2016 was scuppered by his good friend Michael Gove, severely damaging his electoral “brand”.
He has referred to as on May to cease “dithering” and tell the EU that Britain will not settle for the controversial backstop association designed to avoid a tough border in Ireland.
He rejected warnings about the impression of a no-deal Brexit, insisting: “Whatever the doomsters may say … there will be no shortage of Mars bars, we will still have potable drinking water in Britain. The planes will fly, the ferries will ply.”
He was mocked when he tried to distance himself from controversial adverts about immigration from Turkey throughout the 2016 campaign.
Vote Depart adverts posted extensively on social media said that “Turkey (population 76 million) is joining the EU” and “Britain’s new border is with Syria and Iraq”. Some included maps with giant pink arrows pointing in the direction of the UK.
However Mr Johnson (extremely) claimed: “I didn’t say anything about Turkey in the referendum …since I made no remarks, I can’t disown them.”
Sajid Javid – 10/1
The House Secretary is the current bookies’ favourite among the Conservatives.
Mr Javid was appointed Residence Secretary in the wake of the Windrush scandal and the resignation of Amber Rudd.
A recognized Eurosceptic, Mr Javid ended up backing Remain throughout the EU referendum however is widespread among the Tory parliamentary celebration.
Some of his statements in current months and his backing for a more durable Brexit have been taken as signs he’s pitching for the management.
The MP for Bromsgrove in Worcestershire is a former managing director from Deutsche Financial institution.
Dominic Raab – 12/1
The previous Brexit secretary give up the cupboard in protest over Theresa May’s gentle divorce cope with the EU.
Raab has insisted no deal would not be chaotic for Britain and stated the short-term dangers have been “manageable”.
He has blasted those who want to prolong Article 50 or a second referendum.
He stated: “If there’s an attempt to reverse the referendum, stop Brexit altogether I think that would cut across not only the democratic mandate, the biggest in history we had.”
Jeremy Hunt – 14/1
Mr Hunt was the longest-serving Well being Secretary in British historical past before replacing Boris as Overseas Secretary.
He left the Division of Well being after securing a £20bn funding improve for the NHS, but was hated by junior docs after changing their contacts so they would not obtain additional pay for the many shifts they work beforehand categorized as unsociable hours.
Mr Hunt is understood to have management aspirations and now says he backs Brexit regardless of campaigning for Remain throughout the referendum.
Amber Rudd – 20/1
Ms Rudd has managed to stay in favour with Mrs May, taking the buck for the Windrush scandal and stepping down as House Secretary – before months later returning to the cabinet and Work and Pensions chief in November.
The 55-year-old Hastings MP has voiced help for the PM and for her botched Brexit deal, however insiders assume she’s savvy sufficient to manoeuvre a bid to the prime when she’s prepared.
One concern although would be her slim majority in her constituency of Hastings and Rye, which was slimmed down after the 207 vote to simply 346 votes.
In contrast, Mrs May enjoys a 26,457 majority in her constituency of Maidenhead, that has stood behind her over greater than 20 years.
She warned the PM there might be dozens of resignations if Tory MPs are banned from voting for a plan to cease a no-deal Brexit.
Jacob Rees-Mogg – 20/1
Jacob Rees-Mogg is the leader of the backbench Tory Euroceptics and a rising pressure in the Conservative Get together
Jacob Rees-Mogg, the Latin-fluent millionaire financier and MP for North East Somerset, has emerged as the leading Brexiteer on the backbenches.
He has gained an enormous public profile regardless of not being a minister and is adored by hard-line Tory activists.
Rees-Mogg has also garnered a shock following amongst many younger Tories – including Jungle Queen Georgia Toffolo, who referred to as him “a sex god”.
Devout Catholic Rees-Mogg has made no secret of his socially conservative views, resembling being anti-abortion and towards gay marriage.
His plummy tones, double-breasted fits and traditional method have earned him the nickname “The Honourable Member for the Nineteenth Century”.
David Davis – 33/1
David Davis give up as Brexit Secretary in July 2018
David Davis give up as Brexit secretary on July eight, 2018, with a devastating letter warning Mrs May her proposal would go away the UK in “a weak negotiating position” with Brussels.
He has since launched a collection of assaults on Mrs May’s strategy, and led a Tory rebel to ditch the Chequers plan.
He referred to as on Cupboard ministers to stand up and kill off the plans.
Livid Tories have demanded Mr Davis be installed as interim leader to save true Brexit.
Andrea Leadsom – 33/1
Although an unlikely candidate at the time, the Brexit campaigner reached the ultimate two of the 2016 leadership contest.
She withdrew over ill-judged remarks about Theresa May not being a mother.
She is now Chief of the House, and survived in publish despite stories Mrs May was planning to reduce “dead wood” in her January reshuffle.
Mrs Leadsom had a task in the downfall of Sir Michael Fallon after she accused him of lewd sexual feedback.
Ruth Davidson 100/1
The popular and savvy leader of the Scottish Conservatives has been touted as the potential saviour of the Tories in Westminster.
But Ruth has stated repeatedly she needs to give attention to Scotland and as she just isn’t an MP she presently is just not eligible to stand as chief of the UK celebration.
In September 2018 she declared she by no means needs to be Prime Minister.
She will also be putting politics on the again burner for some time as she has just had a child.
FORTNIGHT: BATTLE ROYALE
PM begs for 2 weeks for Brexit in face of Valentine’s Day bloodbath
THE END OF MAY
Theresa May ‘set to RESIGN’ in the summer time in bid to stop Boris turning into PM
MAY ON BREXIT
What has Theresa May stated about Brexit and her newest Plan B?
Might there be a second EU referendum and what has been stated about it?
NO DEAL DRAMA
Britain seems to be to be heading for a No Deal Brexit, but what does that mean?
Chancellor says UK financial system stalled as Brexit paralysis leaves enterprise in EU limbo
AID EXTRA CASH RAP
UK spending £1.5bn additional on overseas help ON TOP of the hated 0.7% target
PRICE WORTH PAYING
Remainers to demand PM arms MPs power to delay Brexit for his or her help
What are the newest no-deal Brexit odds and will there be a second referendum?
What is the customs union and is the UK leaving after Brexit?
HS2 FACING AXE
Ministers are considering axing the whole £56bn Excessive Velocity 2 rail community
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