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2018 NFL Week 7 betting breakdown – Las Vegas Review-Journal

Tennessee Titans quarterback Marcus Mariota scrambles against the Baltimore Ravens in Nashville, Tenn., on Oct. 14, 2018. (AP Photo/James Kenney)

Titans (Three-Three) vs. Chargers (Four-2), at London

Time: 6:30 a.m., KLAS-Eight

Line/Complete: Chargers -6½, 45

Evaluation: Tennessee was shut out at house and gave up 11 sacks to Baltimore final week. Nevertheless, most of the time, one of the best factor for a staff to do off a poor efficiency at house is to go on the street. The market is down on the Titans after that debacle however they’ve been inside one rating in each different recreation this season. The Chargers, particularly at lower than 7, will certainly get the general public play. It seems like they’re on a roll however we’ve seen this film many occasions. Each time the Chargers achieve prosperity, they discover a approach to dwindle it away.

By the numbers: The Titans are Four-9 ATS of their final 13 away video games. … The Chargers are 10-1 SU and 9-1 ATS vs. Tennessee.

Decide: Titans 27, Chargers 24

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Patriots (Four-2) at Bears (Three-2)

Time: 10 a.m., KLAS-Eight

Line/Complete: Patriots -Three, 49

Evaluation: The Patriots beat the Chiefs within the “show them who’s boss” recreation. However this line not being greater than Three exhibits there are some sharp bettors that consider this can be a prime letdown spot for New England. It additionally might be a little bit of a leap of religion to again Chicago, which allowed 31 factors to backup QB Brock Osweiler and the Dolphins. Typical knowledge would have you ever consider that if Osweiler can tear up the Bears protection for 541 yards (380 passing), then what can Tom Brady do? Nevertheless, we all know that it’s not often as reduce and dry within the NFL because the Sunday morning pregame espresso klatches make it out to be.

By the numbers: The Bears are 10-Three-2 ATS of their final 15 house video games. … Chicago is on a 7-Zero underneath run at house in October.

Decide: Patriots 23, Bears 20

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Browns (2-Three) at Buccaneers (2-Three)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/Complete: Buccaneers -3½, 51½

Evaluation: Baker Mayfield has come again to earth the final two video games and has appeared each bit the rookie with seven turnovers in his three begins. That stated, this might be a get-right recreation for him because the Bucs rank No. 31 in complete protection (439.Eight yards per recreation) and lifeless final in scoring protection (34.6 factors per recreation). Jameis Winston performed pretty strong in his return as beginning QB however wants to chop down on his turnovers. The Bucs would get my lean however the over seems to be like one of the best play right here.

By the numbers: The over is 5-Zero in Tampa Bay video games this season. … The Browns are on a 7-Three over run on the street.

Decide: Bucs 31, Browns 24

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Lions (2-Three) at Dolphins (Four-2)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/Complete: Lions -Three, 46½

Evaluation: The Lions are coming off a bye and trying to put a damper on “Brocktober” in Miami. There doesn’t appear to be a lot of a drop-off between Osweiler and Ryan Tannehill at QB for the Dolphins. Osweiler is simply 14-12 as a profession starter however had his greatest numbers with Adam Gase in Denver and is aware of this offense. However, the query stays how he’ll carry out figuring out he might be beginning all week versus final Sunday, when he received the late name from the bullpen.

By the numbers: Detroit is on a Four-Zero cowl streak and driving a 6-Three-1 ATS surge on the street. … The Lions have a Four-1 over-under document this season and the final 4 conferences have gone over.

Decide: Lions 20, Dolphins 17

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Panthers (Three-2) at Eagles (Three-Three)

Time: 10 a.m., KVVU-5

Line/Complete: Eagles -5, 44½

Evaluation: Carolina is the quintessential “box of chocolates” workforce: You by no means know what you’re gonna get. The Eagles seemed like they obtained slightly proper final week pummeling the Giants, however how a lot can you’re taking from that victory over a group that seemingly has a divided locker room since Odell Beckham Jr. went all diva broad receiver. The Panthers are so unpredictable and I’m not but satisfied the Eagles are even near being again to Tremendous Bowl-contending type.

By the numbers: Philadelphia is on a 14-6-1 cowl streak at house. … The over is 5-1 within the final six conferences.

Decide: Eagles 23, Panthers 17

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Payments (2-Four) at Colts (1-5)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/Complete: Colts -7½, 43

Evaluation: The Payments flip to Derek Anderson to salvage one thing of this season. The betting market appears very optimistic that Buffalo has upgraded beneath middle and it has the potential look of a classy underdog decide. The Payments protection ranks No. Three within the league however that’s barely deceptive contemplating their final two video games have been towards two sputtering offenses in Tennessee and Houston. The injury-riddled Colts are a greater staff this yr regardless of their report. Contemplating Andrew Luck is throwing round 10,000 occasions per recreation, his shoulder appears to be high-quality. He will get T.Y. Hilton again, which a minimum of provides him a confirmed goal. Indianapolis is within the favourite position for the primary time all yr and laying greater than 7 in addition. One thing stinks with this line, however typically as a bettor it’s a must to be prepared to go the place the stink is.

By the numbers: The Payments are on an Eight-Four beneath run. … The Colts are on a 5-2 beneath surge at house. … The beneath is 15-6 within the final 21 conferences.

Decide: Colts 24, Payments 14

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Vikings (Three-2-1) at Jets (Three-Three)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/Complete: Vikings -3½, 46

Evaluation: After an inexplicable blowout loss at house to Buffalo, Minnesota suffered a good loss to the Rams adopted by two straight wins. The Vikings appear to have steadied an early shaky ship, as have the Jets, who want to shut out a Three-Zero homestand. However New York gained’t discover scoring as straightforward as they did towards Denver and Indianapolis the final two weeks. The perfect play right here appears just like the beneath.

By the numbers: The Vikings are on a 12-Three-2 cowl streak general and are 6-2-1 ATS of their final 9 away video games. … Minnesota is 1-5 SU and ATS in its final six video games towards the Jets.

Decide: Vikings 23, Jets 16

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Texans (Three-Three) at Jaguars (Three-Three)

Time: 10 a.m.

Line/Complete: Jaguars -Four, 41

Evaluation: A really convincing argument might be made that Houston must be Zero-6 and coach Invoice O’Brien ought to be wanting over a severance package deal. The Texans gained two straight OT video games after which wanted a Nathan Peterman pick-six to squeak by Buffalo final week. However, they’re Three-Three, tied for the division lead and primarily enjoying with home cash contemplating their high quality of play by means of six weeks. Jacksonville relished the position of the rising staff final yr. However this yr, it has not appeared snug within the position of the prohibitive favourite. Furthermore, the Jaguars’ extremely touted protection has given up a mean of greater than 400 yards the final two weeks to explosive Kansas Metropolis (no disgrace in that), but in addition to sputtering Dallas.

By the numbers: The Texans are on a 7-13 unfold slide as underdogs. … Street groups are 10-Three ATS within the final 13 conferences.

Decide: Texans 20, Jaguars 16

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Saints (Four-1) at Ravens (Four-2)

Time: 1:05 p.m.

Line/Complete: Ravens -2½, 49½

Evaluation: If there’s a fly within the ointment of a projected Patriots-Chiefs AFC Championship recreation, it’s Baltimore. The Ravens have the clear No. 1 protection within the NFL (270.Eight ypg). It’ll get examined this week towards the Saints’ No. Three offense (424 ypg). New Orleans is clearly getting respect from the oddsmakers as lower than Three-point underdogs. However this has the seems of a contrarian favourite that will get house.

By the numbers: Baltimore has gained and coated each house video games this season. … The Saints are 1-5 SU and ATS of their final six video games vs. the Ravens.

Decide: Ravens 27, Saints 21

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Cowboys (Three-Three) at Redskins (Three-2)

Time: 1:25 p.m.

Line/Complete: Redskins -1, 41½

Evaluation: The Cowboys come off their greatest efficiency of the season with a dominant 40-7 win over Jacksonville. However the query stays whether or not they can bottle that and take it on the street with them. So far, Dallas’ 29th-ranked offense is averaging solely 12.Three ppg away from residence. Alex Smith hasn’t been dangerous as Washington’s new QB, however he’s been simply type of meh. With so many questions but to be answered from each groups, one of the best play may be the beneath.

By the numbers: The street staff is 7-1 ATS within the final eight conferences. … Underdogs are 31-10 ATS within the final 41 conferences. … The Cowboys are on a 7-Zero underneath run on the street with QB Dak Prescott.

Decide: Cowboys 17, Redskins 16

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Rams (6-Zero) at 49ers (1-5)

Time: 1:25 p.m., KLAS-Eight

Line/Complete: Rams -9½, 49½

Evaluation: The NFC favourite Rams are on the street for the third straight week. It’s a must to marvel if they’re a bit street weary already. They’re on an Zero-2-1 unfold skid so they’re already priced to the moon. The Niners are looking for a method to bounce again from Monday night time’s loss in Inexperienced Bay, a recreation they need to’ve gained outright. The worth in all probability dictates which aspect I’d choose. If it’s 10 or extra, the Niners have worth however at lower than 10, you need to want the Rams.

By the numbers: The Rams are on a 10-6-1 common season cowl streak. … L.A. is on a 7-Three-1 common season over run and the Niners are on an Eight-1-1 over uptick.

Decide: Rams 31, 49ers 20

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Bengals (Four-2) at Chiefs (5-1)

Time: 5:20 p.m., KSNV-Three

Line/Complete: Chiefs -6, 58½

Evaluation: Final week, the Bengals did what they usually do as they discovered a approach to blow a recreation towards the Steelers. The Chiefs suffered their first lack of the season in New England, however improved to 6-Zero ATS and proved they’re for actual. Nonetheless, they aren’t priced by way of the roof just like the Rams are. They’re lower than a TD favourite towards a Cincinnati workforce off yet one more disappointment. Why aren’t they laying 7? I feel this can be a case of the oddsmakers telling you whom they assume is the proper aspect right here.

By the numbers: The Chiefs are on an Eight-2 ATS run as house chalk. … The Bengals are on a 9-Four-1 cowl streak as underdogs. … The beneath is 7-2 within the final 9 conferences.

Decide: Bengals 33, Chiefs 30

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Giants (1-5) at Falcons (2-Four)

Time: 5:15 p.m. Monday, ESPN

Line/Complete: Falcons -Four, 54

Evaluation: We have now an actual barnburner on Monday night time with a 1-5 Giants group dealing with a 2-Four Atlanta staff. Each groups allowed greater than 30 factors final week and it’s a prime-time recreation, so the over seems logical however virtually seems to be too straightforward. This might be a spot to go contrarian and take the underneath.

By the numbers: The beneath is 9-1 within the final 10 conferences. … Atlanta is on an Eight-1-1 beneath streak vs. New York.

Decide: Falcons 26, Giants 20